The five possibilities of all-out war in the Middle East, once the United States enters the game, will be a "good opportunity" for China.
Recently, the tension in the Middle East has escalated again. As Iran launched a large-scale missile attack on Israel, the Israeli government clearly sent out a signal of revenge. Various parties have speculated that as the two strongest military forces in the Middle East are about to collide, does this mean that the Sixth Middle East War is about to begin? The New York Times even pointed out that the United States and other big countries may be involved. There are indications that there will be five possibilities for this all-out war in the Middle East, and the United States has become the biggest variable. Once the United States enters the game, it will also be the time for China to make a move.
According to the analysis of military experts, the first of these five possibilities is that Iran and Israel retaliate against the bilateral war. Similar to the "Iran-Iraq War" in the 1980s, Israel will carry out large-scale sabotage actions against Iran, and Iran will continue its missile counterattack against Israel. At present, Iran has a variety of medium-and long-range missiles covering the whole territory of Israel, while Israel’s air force ranks first in the Middle East, with more than 600 modern fighters. F-15s, F-16s and F-35s can all strike Iran from a long distance. Therefore, the two sides will come and go, and only when the war potential is exhausted will they really stop. Secondly, all the forces in the Middle East joined the war and all-out war broke out.
Another possibility is that Israel continues to threaten the Iranian regime by means of "long-range beheading". Including Hamas leader Chana and Hezbollah leader Nasrallah, were assassinated by Israeli long-range strikes. At present, within the Iranian regime, there is no small contradiction between the pro-western camp headed by the president and supreme leader Khamenei. With the start of the war, Israel will inevitably treat the Tehran regime like Nasrallah in the process of continuing long-range bombing of Iran, and Khamenei will also become the target of a new round of assassination by Israel.
Considering the complexity of the situation in the Middle East, Iran and Israel may continue the situation in April this year and have another "missile exchange" in order to avoid a complete war. In this situation, neither side will easily launch military operations on the ground, which leads to the fifth possibility, that is, Israel will launch a limited counterattack against Iran, but will put its main military forces in Lebanon. After all, Hizbullah’s armed forces are the biggest threat to Israel at present. Only by thoroughly eradicating Hezbollah in Lebanon can Israel ensure its own security and further expand its scope, which can be described as a win-win situation.